Joe Biden鈥檚 decision to from the 2024 campaign is yet another significant moment in this year鈥檚 US election, following on from the of Donald Trump the previous Saturday, July 13.
Not since 1968, when Lyndon Johnson from the nomination process, has the incumbent president not stood for his party鈥檚 nomination for a second term in office.
Following his , Biden followed up with a proposing his vice president, Kamala Harris, as the presumptive nominee for November鈥檚 election. Biden offered his 鈥渇ull support and endorsement鈥 for Harris.
Almost immediately, Democratic Party members praised Biden鈥檚 decision to put the good of the country above personal ambition. Harris Biden for his 鈥渄ecades of service to our country鈥, while the former House speaker, Nancy Pelosi, Biden one of the most 鈥渃onsequential presidents in American history鈥.
Messages of thanks to Biden were quickly followed by those of support for Harris, including potential rivals for the candidacy, such as California governor Gavin Newsom, who Harris: 鈥淭ough. Tenacious. Fearless,鈥 and insisted, 鈥淣o one is better to prosecute the case against Donald Trump鈥檚 dark vision.鈥
Former president Barack Obama Biden on his 鈥渃ommitment to the ideals of freedom and equality that this country was founded on鈥. But, significantly, he failed to explicitly endorse Harris. Instead, Obama wrote that he believed that 鈥渢he leaders of our party will be able to create a process from which an outstanding nominee emerges鈥.
This is a position echoed by Pelosi , last week, that should Biden step down from the race that there needed to be 鈥渙pen process鈥 to the nomination. A transparent nomination process would nullify any accusations that party elites had chosen the candidate.
Harris made it clear that she would not rely on Biden鈥檚 support to assume the nomination. While thanking Biden for his 鈥渆xtraordinary leadership鈥 and endorsement, she : 鈥淢y intention is to earn and win the nomination.鈥
With the due to take place in Chicago at the end of August, party lines are already beginning to form around who should be the candidate. While there have been by Democrat leaders that there will be a 鈥渢ransparent and orderly process鈥 for the party鈥檚 presidential nomination, there is nobody currently publicly opposing Harris as the candidate.
As well as being Biden鈥檚 vice president, there are a number of other reasons why Harris should be the candidate to face Trump.
Identity matters
Any claims that the Democrats will have of being a progressive, inclusive party will arguably disappear if Harris is passed over for the candidacy. The casting aside of a woman of colour for any other candidate would do irreparable damage to the Democrat鈥檚 image.
The US showed that the majority of voters were willing to put a woman in the White House in 2016, when Hillary Clinton won the . And they for a man of colour to be president in 2008 and 2012. Women voters and ethnic minorities will prove to be crucial to the outcome of the November election.
Harris has become a of woman鈥檚 rights 鈥 particularly those associated with abortion and birth control since 2022 when the Supreme Court the landmark 1973 Roe V Wade judgment that established a woman鈥檚 legal right to an abortion.
Previously the Democrats had targeted Trump as a danger to democracy, following the storming of the capitol by his supporters in January 2021. But after the assassination attempt on July 13, a conscious decision was made to scale that rhetoric down. So targeting female votes will be crucial.
Harris also has the advantage of already having a campaign up and running. Within hours of Biden鈥檚 withdrawal, Harris鈥檚 campaign staff were working on gathering further party endorsements.
She was also raised over US$46 million (拢35 million) in the seven hours after Biden鈥檚 endorsement. According to , she is also entitled to inherit the money already raised for the Biden-Harris campaign, which is to stand at around US$95 million.
Finally, Harris enables the Democratic Party to provide a contrasting optic to that of Trump. In her brief 2020 candidacy campaign, she labelled herself as a prosecutor. Now she to Trump the felon.
Gone too are the of Biden鈥檚 age and cognitive abilities. Instead, the focus now turns to Trump who, should be successful in November, will be the oldest president in history at the end of his second term of office.
Much of the wrangling between now and the Democratic convention is likely to concern who will be Harris鈥 running mate.
Running mate
Top of many lists is Josh Shapiro, the governor of Pennsylvania. Shapiro won the 2022 by 15% and his presence would do much to win an important swing state. The same might be said of Gretchen Whitmer, the governor of Michigan, who was to have joined a call of Harris for President staff on Sunday.
Other potential running mates include the popular Pete Buttigieg, the secretary for transport, who would gain in rust belt states that have seen dramatic industrial decline, and senator and former astronaut of Arizona, another key state in the battle for the White House.
Andy Beshear, the Democrat governor of traditionally Republican Kentucky would appeal to many Never-Trumpers and disgruntled Republican voters. He has already he would consider being Harris鈥檚 vice president.
Whoever the final partnership is for November, Democrats have the opportunity to dominate the news cycle over the next few weeks in the lead-up to the national convention. Over the past few weeks, the Republicans have had several wins in the PR battle for the November election.
But as long as the Democrats unite behind their candidate quickly, they can make significant progress towards getting their candidate in the White House when Biden鈥檚 term ends next January.
, Teaching Fellow in International Security,
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